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Essays
Journey through the technologies advancing humanity: the AI stack, the companies building it, and the ideas that decide who captures the value.
Peregrinations
Essay
The War for Time
Meta is selling near-frontier inference at a fraction of what OpenAI and Anthropic charge, and the discount is aimed at their margins.
Jul 15, 20267 min readRead the essay
Essay
The Mercurial Muse
Nine months ago, we called the talent spending rational. Last week, the first model shipped. Now comes the harder question.
Apr 16, 20265 min readRead the essay
Landmark Essays Across the Industry
Foundational arguments shaping artificial intelligence, published by frontier founders and researchers.
Mark Zuckerberg
The Future is for Everyone
We are fortunate to live at an incredible moment in history. In the next few years, people will be able to use superintelligence beyond human capacity to create and discover extraordinary new things, build new businesses, express new ideas, learn new concepts, and advance our health and quality of life.
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Citrini and Alap Shah
The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis
What if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that’s actually bearish? What follows is a scenario, not a prediction.
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Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo Dean
AI 2027
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like.
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Dario Amodei
The Urgency of Interpretability
In the decade that I have been working on AI, I’ve watched it grow from a tiny academic field to arguably the most important economic and geopolitical issue in the world.
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Dario Amodei
On DeepSeek and Export Controls
A few weeks ago I made the case for stronger US export controls on chips to China. Since then DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company, has managed to — at least in some respects — come close to the performance of US frontier AI models at lower cost.
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Dario Amodei
Machines of Loving Grace
I think and talk a lot about the risks of powerful AI. The company I’m the CEO of, Anthropic, does a lot of research on how to reduce these risks.
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Leopold Aschenbrenner
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
You can see the future first in San Francisco. Over the past year, the talk of the town has shifted from $10 billion compute clusters to $100 billion clusters to trillion-dollar clusters.
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